Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.846691 4.106009 4.384460 4.707554 5.074545 5.481387 5.970709
2024-10-06 3.586799 3.944341 4.349567 4.849279 5.458363 6.189909 7.156919
2024-10-13 3.290275 3.697495 4.177921 4.799052 5.601035 6.633535 8.124079
2024-10-20 3.034462 3.470124 4.001301 4.716200 5.687619 7.022071 9.126185
2024-10-27 2.795101 3.240573 3.798136 4.573686 5.674310 7.276285 10.023866
2024-11-03 2.709011 3.195183 3.824275 4.737864 6.113315 8.288585 12.541927
2024-11-10 2.652206 3.181922 3.890724 4.967405 6.696565 9.710088 16.708204
2024-11-17 2.509708 3.042748 3.771093 4.909912 6.819724 10.386616 19.894021
2024-11-24 2.369244 2.896372 3.628760 4.801153 6.839862 10.886540 23.224168
2024-12-01 2.254176 2.777635 3.516719 4.727452 6.911228 11.533809 28.048256
2024-12-08 2.158213 2.679689 3.427516 4.680711 7.026228 12.342336 35.361957
2024-12-15 2.106511 2.641479 3.424467 4.777094 7.441586 14.119998 55.041671
2024-12-22 2.005380 2.535375 3.324451 4.723536 7.607500 15.564541 91.954667
2024-12-29 1.946155 2.487363 3.311756 4.826491 8.157657 18.836290 416.858806
2025-01-05 1.855483 2.386488 3.206256 4.745018 8.268365 20.785766 NaN
2025-01-12 1.768465 2.286272 3.094485 4.638723 8.298602 22.590042 NaN
2025-01-19 1.679822 2.178969 2.963686 4.480800 8.161427 23.547364 NaN
2025-01-26 1.649682 2.160589 2.980706 4.622251 8.899069 31.457740 NaN
2025-02-02 1.630270 2.157644 3.023820 4.826949 9.943873 48.120677 NaN
2025-02-09 1.572080 2.089299 2.946622 4.760187 10.098354 57.876395 NaN
2025-02-16 1.511939 2.014928 2.853783 4.647567 10.062305 65.932596 NaN
2025-02-23 1.460989 1.953227 2.779974 4.570279 10.139004 79.787822 NaN
2025-03-02 1.417222 1.901311 2.720703 4.520041 10.310709 104.244384 NaN